Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 0.008091 0.009100 0.010203 0.011501 0.012989 0.014647 0.016639
2025-01-26 0.006445 0.007803 0.009417 0.011489 0.014093 0.017280 0.021511
2025-02-02 0.005771 0.007341 0.009315 0.012005 0.015611 0.020333 0.027073
2025-02-09 0.005083 0.006719 0.008869 0.011939 0.016273 0.022269 0.031357
2025-02-16 0.004620 0.006312 0.008621 0.012058 0.017136 0.024513 0.036322
2025-02-23 0.004161 0.005845 0.008221 0.011884 0.017515 0.026054 0.040399
2025-03-02 0.003872 0.005583 0.008071 0.012039 0.018373 0.028385 0.046014
2025-03-09 0.003565 0.005260 0.007791 0.011950 0.018817 0.030086 0.050800
2025-03-16 0.003205 0.004820 0.007289 0.011450 0.018524 0.030512 0.053394
2025-03-23 0.002988 0.004583 0.007078 0.011392 0.018948 0.032190 0.058476
2025-03-30 0.002915 0.004566 0.007211 0.011916 0.020427 0.035896 0.067961
2025-04-06 0.002677 0.004260 0.006844 0.011539 0.020245 0.036524 0.071428
2025-04-13 0.002467 0.003991 0.006530 0.011248 0.020231 0.037550 0.076070
2025-04-20 0.002324 0.003827 0.006382 0.011247 0.020776 0.039759 0.083696
2025-04-27 0.002275 0.003818 0.006502 0.011750 0.022358 0.044276 0.097338
2025-05-04 0.002145 0.003656 0.006335 0.011686 0.022785 0.046425 0.105849
2025-05-11 0.002053 0.003553 0.006264 0.011802 0.023595 0.049513 0.117264
2025-05-18 0.001931 0.003388 0.006063 0.011632 0.023770 0.051186 0.125380
2025-05-25 0.001859 0.003310 0.006021 0.011783 0.024666 0.054656 0.139006
2025-06-01 0.001765 0.003182 0.005872 0.011696 0.025011 0.056857 0.149583
2025-06-08 0.001633 0.002974 0.005550 0.011209 0.024375 0.056548 0.152853
2025-06-15 0.001558 0.002871 0.005431 0.011152 0.024751 0.058855 0.164457
2025-06-22 0.001546 0.002892 0.005563 0.011664 0.026561 0.065177 0.190048